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Comparing bear markets - 1973 and 2000.

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Article

Davis, Philip

National Institute Economic Review

2003

183

January

78-89

economic recession ; financial aspect ; gross domestic product ; macroeconomics

Canada ; France ; Germany ; Italy ; Japan ; United Kingdom ; USA

Business economics

English

Bibliogr.

"In nominal terms, the fall in global share prices since 1999/2000 bears a close resemblance to that experienced worldwide in the years following 1972/3. This article seeks to compare the two periods of market weakness in the G-7 countries in terms not only of share prices but also focusing on macroeconomic trends, financial market developments, sectoral patterns of shareholding and potential wider economic consequences of falling share prices. It is shown that the earlier period was much more severe in terms of adverse economic developments, in particular high inflation. But the current situation also presents some risks, in particular a disruptive correction of US sectoral imbalances."

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