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The employment effects of a sectoral minimum wage in Germany

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Müller, Kai-Uwe

Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Berlin

DIW - Berlin

2010

41 p.

construction industry ; employment ; minimum wage ; statistics

Germany

Discussion Papers

1061

Wages and wage payment systems

http://www.diw.de/

English

Bibliogr.

"In this paper employment effects of a sectoral minimum wage in the German construction sector are estimated from a single cross-sectional wage distribution using parametric and semi-parametric models. Parametric functional form assumptions seem too restrictive and lead to implausible results. We suggest semi-parametric censored quantile regression models to relax these assumptions and find that employment levels would be 4-5% higher without the minimum wage in the East German construction sector. That the effect for the West is clearly smaller (only 1-2%) is theoretically plausible, since the level of the minimum wage in East Germany was set much higher in relation to the wage distribution. There is heterogeneity hidden in the mean effect: employment losses are mostly borne by young construction workers, employees not covered by collective bargaining agreements and individuals working in small establishments. Although the paper confirms previous findings of a negative employment effect for East Germany, its magnitude is substantially larger than previously estimated."

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