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Identifying asymmetric effects of labor market reforms

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Gehrke, Britta ; Weber, Enzo

Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Nürnberg

IAB - Nürnberg

2017

35 p.

labour market reform ; business cycle ; economic recession

Germany ; Spain

IAB-Discussion Paper

23/2017

Labour market

http://iab.de/

English

Bibliogr.

"This paper investigates whether the effects of structural labor market reforms depend on the business cycle. Based on search and matching theory, we propose an unobserved components approach with Markov switching to distinguish the effects of structural reforms that increase the flexibility of the labor market in recession and expansion. Our results for Germany and Spain show that reforms have substantially weaker expansionary effects in the short-run when implemented in recessions. In consequence, reforms are unlikely to mitigate the impact of crisis in the short-run. From a policy perspective, these results highlight the costs of introducing reforms in recessions."

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