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The fall in German unemployment: a flow analysis

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Carrillo-Tudela, Carlos ; Launov, Andrey ; Robin, Jean-Marc

Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn

IZA - Bonn

2018

48 p.

unemployment ; part time employment ; labour market reform ; welfare state

Germany

Discussion Paper

11442

Unemployment

http://www.iza.org/

English

Bibliogr.;Charts

"In this paper we investigate the recent fall in unemployment, and the rise in part-time work, labour market participation, inequality and welfare in Germany. Unemployment fell because the Hartz IV reform induced a large fraction of the long-term unemployed to deregister as jobseekers and appear as non-participants. Yet, labour force participation increased because many unregistered-unemployed workers ended up accepting low-paid part-time work that was offered in quantity in absence of a universal minimum wage. A large part of the rise in part-time work was also due to the tax benefits Hartz II introduced to take up a mini-job as secondary employment. This has provided an easy way to top-up labour income staggering under the pressure of wage moderation. The rise in part-time work led to an increase in inequality at the lower end of income distribution. Overall we find that Germany increased welfare as unemployment fell."

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