Welfare resilience at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in a selection of European countries: impact on public finance and household incomes
EUROMOD ; Canto-Sanchez, Olga ; Figari, Francesco ; Fiorio, Carlo ; Kuypers, Sarah ; Marchal, Sarah ; de la Cruz, Marina Romaguera ; Tasseva, Iva Valentinova ; Verbist, Gerlinde
ISER - Colchester
2021
28 p.
epidemic disease ; household income ; comparison
Belgium ; Italy ; Spain ; United Kingdom
EUROMOD Working Paper
EM 04/21
Income distribution
http://www.iser.essex.ac.uk/research/euromod
English
Bibliogr.
"This paper assesses the impact on household incomes of the COVID-19 pandemic and governments’ policy responses in April 2020 in four large and severely hit European countries: Belgium, Italy, Spain and the UK. We provide comparative evidence on the level of relative and absolute welfare resilience at the onset of the pandemic, by creating counterfactual scenarios using the European-wide tax-benefit model EUROMOD combined with COVID-related household surveys and timely labour market data. We find that income poverty increases in all countries due to the pandemic while inequality remains broadly the same. Differences in the impact of policies across countries arise from four main sources: the asymmetric dimension of the shock by country, the different protection offered by each tax-benefit system, the diverse design of discretionary measures and the differences in the household level circumstances and living arrangements of individuals at risk of income loss in each country."
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