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The potential effects of labour market duality for countries in a monetary union

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Article

Kosior, Anna ; Rubaszek, Michal ; Wierus, Kamil

International Labour Review

2016

155

4

December

509-534

EMU ; labour contract ; temporary employment ; unemployment

Employment

http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1564-913X.2015.00050.x

English

Bibliogr.

"This article investigates whether the varying prevalence of temporary employment contracts across Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) countries can explain their different unemployment dynamics. Using a database of labour market institutions, dynamic panel regressions are carried out for 11 eurozone countries for 1995–2013. Labour market duality – i.e. the co-existence of permanent and temporary contracts – is found to have a robust and significant effect on unemployment dynamics: a high duality rate increases the response of unemployment to output shocks while decreasing its persistence. The authors suggest that introducing a “single contract” could improve stability at both eurozone and country level."

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