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Policy analysis and forecasting in the world economy: a panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium approach

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Vitek, Francis

IMF

IMF - Washington, DC

2013

88 p.

economic forecast ; economic model ; macroeconomics ; monetary policy

IMF Working Paper

253

Economics

www.imf.org

English

Bibliogr.

"This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. This panel unobserved components model encompasses an approximate linear panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model featuring a monetary transmission mechanism, a fiscal transmission mechanism, and extensive macrofinancial linkages, both within and across economies. A variety of monetary policy analysis, fiscal policy analysis, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated, based on a Bayesian framework for conditioning on judgment."

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