Policy analysis and forecasting in the world economy: a panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium approach
IMF - Washington, DC
2013
88 p.
economic forecast ; economic model ; macroeconomics ; monetary policy
IMF Working Paper
253
Economics
English
Bibliogr.
"This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. This panel unobserved components model encompasses an approximate linear panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model featuring a monetary transmission mechanism, a fiscal transmission mechanism, and extensive macrofinancial linkages, both within and across economies. A variety of monetary policy analysis, fiscal policy analysis, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated, based on a Bayesian framework for conditioning on judgment."
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