Fiscal devaluation in a monetary union
Engler, Philipp ; Ganelli, Giovanni ; Tervala, Juha ; Voigts, Simon
IMF - Washington, DC
2014
33 p.
EMU ; fiscal policy ; monetary policy ; devaluation
IMF Working Paper
201
Public finance and taxation
English
Bibliogr.
"Using a DSGE model calibrated to the euro area, we analyze the international effects of a fiscal devaluation (FD) implemented as a revenue-neutral shift from employer's social contributions to the Value Added Tax. We find that a FD in ‘Southern European countries' has a strong positive effect on output, but mild effects on the trade balance and the real exchange rate. Since the benefits of a FD are small relative to the divergence in competitiveness, it is best addressed through structural reforms."
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