Modelling the economic effects of COVID-19 and possible green recovery plans: a post-Keynesian approach
Pollitt, Hector ; Lewney, Richard ; Kiss-Dobronyi, Bence ; Lin, Xinru
2021
21
10
1257-1271
epidemic disease ; economic recovery ; macroeconomics ; sustainable development
Economic development
https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2021.1965525
English
Bibliogr.
"Only twelve years after the global financial crisis, in 2020 the world was again in economic crisis. This time around, the source of the crisis was the COVID-19 global pandemic, which has affected the economy differently than the global financial crisis. However, as they were in 2008–2009, conventional macroeconomic theory and models have once again been found wanting, and economists have again turned for insights to the work of Keynes and more recent post-Keynesian scholars. This paper explores a simulation of the macroeconomic impacts of COVID-19 using the E3ME macro-econometric model. It describes two potential recovery packages, one of which could be described as ‘green'. The modelling shows that the green recovery package could support the global economy and national labour markets through the recovery period, outperforming an equivalent conventional stimulus package while simultaneously reducing global CO2 emissions by 12%."
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