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Labor turnover before plant closure: “Leaving the sinking ship” vs. “Captain throwing ballast overboard”

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Article

Schwerdt, Guido

Labour Economics

2011

18

1

January

93-101

labour turnover ; plant shutdown ; redundancy ; statistics

Austria

Unemployment

English

Bibliogr.

"Involuntary job loss in administrative data is commonly identified by exploiting the exogenous nature of mass layoffs or plant closures. However, prior knowledge can lead to selection in the labor turnover of distressed firms. This paper proposes a simple method to determine if and when selective turnover sets in. Based on a rich administrative data set for Austria, we show that separations up to two quarters before plant closure should be included in the treatment group. Moreover, we find that early leavers are associated with significantly lower costs of job loss due to plant closure."

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