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Macroeconomic uncertainty and capital-skill complementarity

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Belianska, Anna

IMF

IMF - Washington, DC

2023

74 p.

macroeconomics ; business cycle ; labour market ; skill requirement ; wages

IMF Working Paper

WP/23/155

Labour market

https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400250316.001

English

Bibliogr.

"I examine the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on labor market outcomes for skilled and unskilled workers and propose a new channel to improve our understanding of the underlying propagation mechanisms. I find that uncertainty shocks are recessionary with the unskilled experiencing a steeper fall in employment. To rationalize these findings, I build a New Keynesian DSGE model with skill heterogeneity and wage rigidities, which, coupled with precautionary labor supply, significantly amplify contractionary effects of uncertainty on the real economy."

Digital



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