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The effect of public investment in Europe: a model-based assessment

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de Jong, Jasper ; Ferdinandusse, Marien ; Funda, Josip ; Vetlov, Igor

European Central Bank

ECB - Frankfurt am Main

2017

45 p.

economic growth ; fiscal policy ; public investment

Working Paper

2021

Financing and monetary policy

http://www.ecb.europa.eu

English

Bibliogr.

"We consider the effect of an increase in public investments on output in Europe against the background of a sharp drop of public investments in a number of EU countries during the crisis and subsequent policy discussions on the need to stimulate public investments. We start with a brief overview of recent developments in public investments, including some methodological issues, and provide a literature overview of the effect of public investments on growth. On the basis of updated estimates of the public capital stock, we estimate the output response to a public capital impulse, using VAR models. In addition, using a structural model, we investigate the sensitivity of the macroeconomic impact of an increase in public investments to alternative assumptions about economic structures and policy implementations."

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