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A global strategy to manage the long-term risks of COVID-19

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Agarwal, Ruchir ; Gopinath, Gita ; Farrar, Jeremy ; Hatchett, Richard ; Sands, Peter

IMF

IMF - Washington, DC

2022

26 p.

epidemic disease ; risk management ; economic recession ; disease control ; sustainable development ; health policy ; economic policy

international

IMF Working Paper

WP/22/68

Risk assessment and risk management

https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WP/2022/English/wpiea2022068-print-pdf.ashx

English

Bibliogr.

"The pandemic is not over, and the health and economic losses continue to grow. It is now evident that COVID-19 will be with us for the long term, and there are very different scenarios for how it could evolve, from a mild endemic scenario to a dangerous variant scenario. This realization calls for a new strategy that manages both the uncertainty and the long-term risks of COVID-19. There are four key policy implications of such as strategy. First, we need to achieve equitable access beyond vaccines to encompass a comprehensive toolkit. Second, we must monitor the evolving virus and dynamically upgrade the toolkit. Third, we must transition from the acute response to a sustainable strategy toward COVID-19, balanced and integrated with other health and social priorities. Fourth, we need a unified risk-mitigation approach to future infectious disease threats beyond COVID-19. Infectious diseases with pandemic potential are a threat to global economic and health security. The international community should recognize that its pandemic financing addresses a systemic risk to the global economy, not just the development need of a particular country. Accordingly, it should allocate additional funding to fight pandemics and strengthen health systems both domestically and overseas. This will require about $15 billion in grants this year and $10 billion annually after that."

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