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The productivity puzzle – A critical assessment and an outlook on the COVID-19 crisis

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Roth, Felix

Universität Hamburg. Fakultät Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften

University of Hamburg

2021

22 p.

epidemic disease ; labour productivity ; structural change

Hamburg Discussion Papers in International Economics

8

Production management

https://www.econstor.eu/handle/10419/231749

English

Bibliogr.

"This paper assesses the productivity puzzle critically and gives an outlook on the COVID-19 crisis. It offers two main conclusions. First, it posits that a large fraction of the productivity puzzle can be solved by incorporating intangible capital into the asset boundary of the national accounts. Thus, the productivity puzzle is largely explained as a consequence of fundamental structural changes that are underway, transforming industrial economies into knowledge economies. Secondly, the contribution foresees a post-COVID-19 scenario that will likely lead to a pronounced increase in labour productivity growth. This depends, however, on whether the current push for digitization will be backed by actual investments into digitization and the necessary complementary investments in (business and public) intangible capital. "

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