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Financial crises and economic activity

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Book

National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge ; Cecchetti, Stephen G. ; Kohler, Marion ; Upper, Christian

NBER - Cambridge, MA

2009

36 p.

banking ; comparison ; economic recession ; financial market ; history ; international

Working Paper Series

15379

Business economics

http://www.nber.org/

English

Bibliogr.

"We study the output costs of 40 systemic banking crises since 1980. Most, but not all, crises in our sample coincide with a sharp contraction in output from which it took several years to recover. Our main findings are as follows. First, the current financial crisis is unlike any others in terms of a wide range of economic factors. Second, the output losses of past banking crises were higher when they were accompanied by a currency crisis or when growth was low at the onset of the crisis. When accompanied by a sovereign debt default, a systemic banking crisis was less costly. And, third, there is a tendency for systemic banking crises to have lasting negative output effects. "

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