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Futures and risk: the rise and demise of the hedger-speculator dichotomy

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Article

Engel, Alexander

Socio-Economic Review

2013

11

3

July

553-576

financial market ; risk assessment

Financing and monetary policy

http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ser/mwt007

English

Bibliogr.

"In interpreting futures markets, a well-established dichotomy of hedgers and speculators is at play. Hedgers are unwillingly exposed to risks; speculators take them over hoping for profit. This concept ignores the changing notions and practices of ‘speculation' and especially ‘hedging' since the nineteenth century. Originally, hedging meant that merchants ‘buy time' in ongoing transactions. The concept later pointed to securing projected transactions by producers and processors. In today's risk economy, the term can label at best the intent to decrease exposure to a specific market risk, as part of a constant process of readjusting principally ‘speculative' market positions by all market participants. Futures markets ultimately increased the average exposure to risk, but they also made the exposure potentially manageable; this entails that the economic process is increasingly developed by expressing expectations about the future through taking market positions, that is, by creating risk."

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