Notes on a world with generative AI
Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn
IZA - Bonn
2025
27 p.
artificial intelligence ; labour economics ; technological change ; automation ; digitalisation
Discussion Paper
18070
Technology
https://docs.iza.org/dp18070.pdf
English
Bibliogr.
"Generative AI (GenAI) and Large Language Models (LLMs) are moving into domains once seen as uniquely human: reasoning, synthesis, abstraction, and rhetoric. Addressed to labor economists and informed readers, this paper clarifies what is truly new about LLMs, what is not, and why it matters. Using an analogy to auto-regressive models from economics, we explain their stochastic nature, whose fluency is often mistaken for agency. We place LLMs in the longer history of human–machine outsourcing, from digestion to cognition, and examine disruptive effects on white-collar labor, institutions, and epistemic norms. Risks emerge when synthetic content becomes both product and input, creating feedback loops that erode originality and reliability. Grounding the discussion in conceptual clarity over hype, we argue that while GenAI may substitute for some labor, statistical limits will, probably but not without major disruption, preserve a key role for human judgment. The question is not only how these tools are used, but which tasks we relinquish and how we reallocate expertise in a new division of cognitive labor."
Digital
The ETUI is co-funded by the European Union. Views and opinions expressed are however those of the author(s) only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union or the ETUI.