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Inequality, leverage and crises

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Kumhof, Michael ; Rancière, Romain

IMF

IMF - Washington, DC

2010

37 p.

economic recession ; income distribution ; social inequality

USA

IMF Working Paper

268

Income distribution

www.imf.org

English

Bibliogr.

"The paper studies how high leverage and crises can arise as a result of changes in the income distribution. Empirically, the periods 1920-1929 and 1983-2008 both exhibited a large increase in the income share of the rich, a large increase in leverage for the remainder, and an eventual financial and real crisis. The paper presents a theoretical model where these features arise endogenously as a result of a shift in bargaining powers over incomes. A financial crisis can reduce leverage if it is very large and not accompanied by a real contraction. But restoration of the lower income group's bargaining power is more effective."

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