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Financial contagion and the European debt crisis

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Missio, Sebastian ; Watzka, Sebastian

CESifo, Munich

CESifo - Munich

2011

33 p.

debt ; economic recession ; EMU

EU countries

CESifo working paper

3554

Business economics

http://www.cesifo-group.de/

English

Bibliogr.;Charts

"Since the beginning of 2010, the Euro Area faces a severe sovereign debt crisis, now generally known as the Euro Crisis. While the Euro Crisis has its origin in Greece, problems have now spread to several other European countries as well. Dynamic conditional correlation models (DCC) are estimated in order to assess if contagious effects are identifiable during the Euro Crisis, or if the countries' problems are instead due to fundamental problems in the affected economies. Our findings show that there is contagion within the Euro Area. Additionally, contagious effects generated by rating announcements are documented. These results are crucial when it comes to choosing the correct measure and timing of policy intervention."

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