Percent increase in the German minimum wage: nothing crazy!
Bossler, Mario ; Chittka, Lars ; Schank, Thorsten
Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn
IZA - Bonn
2024
56 p.
minimum wage ; low wages ; labour market
Discussion Paper
17575
Wages and wage payment systems
https://docs.iza.org/dp17575.pdf
English
Bibliogr.
"We present the first empirical evidence on the 22 percent increase in the German minimum wage, implemented in 2022, raising it from € 9.82 to € 10.45 in July and to € 12 in October. Leveraging the German Earnings Survey, a large and novel data source comprising around 8 million employee-level observations reported by employers each month, we apply a difference-in-difference-in-differences approach to analyze the policy's impact on hourly wages, monthly earnings, employment, and working hours. Our findings reveal significant positive effects on wages, affirming the policy's intended benefits for low-wage workers. Interestingly, we identify a negative effect on working hours, mainly driven by minijobbers. The hours effect results in an implied labor demand elasticity in terms of the employment volume of −0.2 which only partially offsets the monthly wage gains. We neither observe a negative effect on the individual's employment retention nor the regional employment levels."
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