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AI, automation and taxation

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Bastani, Spencer ; Waldenström, Daniel

CESifo, Munich

CESifo - Munich

2024

21 p.

artificial intelligence ; automation ; taxation ; payroll tax ; income distribution ; income tax ; future of work

OECD countries

CESifo working paper

11084

Public finance and taxation

https://www.cesifo.org/en/publications/2024/working-paper/ai-automation-and-taxation

English

Bibliogr.

"This paper examines the implications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and automation for the taxation of labor and capital in advanced economies. It synthesizes empirical evidence on worker displacement, productivity, and income inequality, as well as theoretical frameworks for optimal taxation. Implications for tax policy are discussed, focusing on the level of capital taxes and the progressivity of labor taxes. While there may be a need to adjust the level of capital taxes and the structure of labor income taxation, there are potential drawbacks of overly progressive taxation and universal basic income schemes that could undermine work incentives, economic growth, and long-term household welfare. Some of the challenges posed by AI and automation may also be better addressed through regulatory measures rather than tax policy."

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