Labor markets during the COVID-19 crisis: a preliminary view
Coibion, Olivier ; Gorodnichenko, Yuriy ; Weber, Michael
National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge
NBER - Cambridge, MA
2020
13 p.
labour market analysis ; epidemic disease ; labour force
Working Paper
27017
Labour market
https://www.nber.org/papers/w27017
English
Bibliogr.;Statistics
"We use a repeated large-scale survey of households in the Nielsen Homescan panel to characterize how labor markets are being affected by the covid-19 pandemic. We document several facts. First, job loss has been significantly larger than implied by new unemployment claims: we estimate 20 million lost jobs by April 6th, far more than jobs lost over the entire Great Recession. Second, many of those losing jobs are not actively looking to find new ones. As a result, we estimate the rise in the unemployment rate over the corresponding period to be surprisingly small, only about 2 percentage points. Third, participation in the labor force has declined by 7 percentage points, an unparalleled fall that dwarfs the three percentage point cumulative decline that occurred from 2008 to 2016."
Digital
The ETUI is co-funded by the European Union. Views and opinions expressed are however those of the author(s) only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union or the ETUI.