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Output and unemployment dynamics during the great recession: a panel unobserved components analysis

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Vitek, Francis

IMF

IMF - Washington, DC

2010

20 p.

economic recession ; international ; labour market analysis ; unemployment

IMF Working Paper

185

Business economics

www.imf.org

English

Bibliogr.

"This paper analyzes the sources of output and unemployment dynamics in the world economy during the Great Recession. This analysis is based on a panel unobserved components model of the world economy, disaggregated into its fifteen largest national economies. We find that excess supply pressure was primarily transmitted from the output market to the labor market by economy specific combinations of negative domestic or foreign output demand shocks, mitigated to varying degrees by countercyclical labor market policies or institutions."

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