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This time they are different: heterogeneity and nonlinearity in the relationship between debt and growth

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Eberhardt, Markus ; Presbitero, Andrea

IMF

IMF - Washington, DC

2013

44 p.

economic growth ; economic model ; public debt

IMF Working Paper

248

Public finance and taxation

www.imf.org

English

Bibliogr.

"We study the long-run relationship between public debt and growth in a large panel of countries. Our analysis takes particular note of theoretical arguments and data considerations in modeling the debt-growth relationship as heterogeneous across countries. We investigate the issue of nonlinearities (debt thresholds) in both the cross-country and within-country dimensions, employing novel methods and diagnostics from the time-series literature adapted for use in the panel. We find some support for a nonlinear relationship between debt and long-run growth across countries, but no evidence for common debt thresholds within countries over time."

Digital



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