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Covid 19: a new challenge for the EMU

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Delatte, Anne-Laure ; Guillaume, Alexis

Centre d'études prospectives et d'informations internationales, Paris

CEPII - Paris

2020

1 p.

epidemic disease ; EMU ; monetary policy

EU countries

Working Paper

2020-08

Financing and monetary policy

http://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/fr/publications/wp/abstract.asp?NoDoc=12667

English

"While the pandemic was an exogenous shock leading to increasing sovereign debt across the board, the dynamics of sovereign risk premiums has been heterogeneous in the Euro Area (EA). We estimate the determinants of sovereign bond spreads in the EA during the pandemic from January 2 2020 to May 26 2020. We find that resiliency to COVID shock depended on initial fiscal situation, robustness of the banking sector and healthcare capacity. Policy announcements by the ECB and the European executive bodies have been associated with narrowing down the spreads, with differentiated contribution to largely indebted countries. However, while securities purchases by the ECB have unambiguously been associated with lower spreads, the financial assistance package put together by the European Council have contributed to larger spreads, specifically those based on loans."

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