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Wage cyclicalities and labor market dynamics at the establishment level: theory and evidence

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Merkl, Christian ; Stüber, Heiko

Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn

IZA - Bonn

2017

47 p.

wages ; business cycle ; labour market analysis ; enterprise level

Germany

Discussion Paper

11051

Wages and wage payment systems

http://www.iza.org/

English

Bibliogr.

"Using the new AWFP dataset that covers all German establishments, we document a substantial cross-sectional heterogeneity of establishments' average real wages over the business cycle. While the median establishments' real wages are procyclical, there is a large fraction of establishments with countercyclical real wages. We are the first to show that establishments with more procyclical wages have a less procyclical hires rate and employment behavior. We propose a labor market flow model that is able to replicate these facts and thereby allows us to run counterfactual exercises. When we set the wage cyclicalities of all establishments to the one of the most procyclical establishments, labor market volatilities drop by more than 50 percent."

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