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Democracy and growth: evidence of a new measurement

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Gründler, Klaus ; Krieger, Tommy

CESifo, Munich

CESifo - Munich

2015

53 p.

democracy ; economic growth ; economic indicator ; theoretical analysis

CESifo Working Paper

5647

Economic development

http://www.cesifo-group.de/

English

Bibliogr.

"We present a novel approach for measuring democracy based on Support Vector Machines, a mathematical algorithm for pattern recognition. The Support Vector Machines Democracy Index (SVMDI) is continuously on the 0-1-interval and enables a very detailed measurement of democracy for 188 countries between 1981 and 2011. Application of the SVMDI highlights a robust positive relationship between democracy and economic growth. We argue that the ambiguity in recent studies mainly originates from the lack of sensitivity of traditional democracy indicators. Analyzing transmission channels we conclude that democratic countries have better educated populations, higher investment shares, and lower fertility rates, but not necessarily higher levels of redistribution."

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