ECB's economy-wide climate stress test
Alogoskoufis, Spyros ; Dunz, Nepomuk ; Emambakhsh, Tina ; Hennig, Tristan ; Kaijser, Michiel ; Kouratzoglou, Charalampos ; Muñoz, Manuel A. ; Parisi, Maria Laura ; Salleo, Carmello
ECB - Frankfurt am Main
2021
89 p.
climate change ; business strategy ; environmental impact assessment ; environmental policy
Occasional Paper
281
Business economics
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pubbydate/html/index.en.html
English
Bibliogr.
"Climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing humankind this century. If left unchecked, it is likely to result in more frequent and severe climatic events, with the potential to cause substantial disruption to our economies, businesses and livelihoods in the coming decades. Yet the associated risks remain poorly understood, as climate shocks differ from the financial shocks observed during previous crises. This paper describes the ECB's economy-wide climate stress test, which has been developed to assess the resilience of non-financial corporates (NFCs) and euro area banks to climate risks, under various assumptions in terms of future climate policies. This stress test comprises three main pillars: (i) climate-specific scenarios to project climate and macroeconomic conditions over the next 30 years; (ii) a comprehensive dataset that combines climate and financial information for millions of companies worldwide and approximately 1,600 consolidated euro area banks; (iii) a novel set of climate-specific models to capture the direct and indirect transmission channels of climate risk drivers for firms and banks."
Digital
The ETUI is co-funded by the European Union. Views and opinions expressed are however those of the author(s) only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union or the ETUI.