Can informal economic activities be explained by social and institutional factors? A comparative analysis
Adriaenssens, Stef ; Hendrickx, Jef
2015
13
4
Oct.
627-649
informal economy ; regulation ; tax evasion ; taxation ; social capital
Economic development
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ser/mwv017
English
Bibliogr.
"Empirical literature on informal activities often builds on macro-economic country estimates, which impedes testing behavioural hypotheses. The European Social Survey (ESS), documenting self-reported tax evasion in 26 countries, allows us to test individual and institutional factors simultaneously. We model the effect of institutional and social capital factors affecting informal transactions. We predict that informality is fostered by social relations and trust, and curbed by institutional trust. Regulation and taxation fuel informal transactions, while effective enforcement inhibits them. These predictions are simultaneously tested with individual-level data from the ESS, complemented with country-level data on regulation, taxation levels and enforcement. Multilevel binary and multinomial logit, fixed effects, Markov chain Monte Carlo method and adaptive Gaussian quadrature regressions confirm the predictions regarding social capital, trust and tax burden. Contrary to much prior research, we find weak and inconsistent effects of regulation and enforcement, which may also be due to the limited variation of our country sample."
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