Employment expectations and uncertainties ahead of the new German minimum wage
Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Nürnberg
IAB - Nürnberg
2016
35 p.
IAB-Discussion Paper
03/2016
Wages and wage payment systems
English
Bibliogr.
"Followed by an extensive policy discussion late 2013 and early 2014, the new German minimum wage was introduced on 1 January 2015. This article analyzes announcement effects of the new statutory minimum wage on employer expectations in 2014. The IAB Establishment Panel allows for a difference-in-differences comparison between affected and unaffected employers and entails variables that address the employers' employment expectations. In 2014, affected employers show an increased employment uncertainty and a drop in their expected employment development. They also more likely report wage costs to become a problem. In size, the employment expectations translate into a loss of about 12 800 jobs."
Digital
The ETUI is co-funded by the European Union. Views and opinions expressed are however those of the author(s) only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union or the ETUI.