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Replacement migration from a labour market perspective. Germany's long-term potential labour force and immigration from non-EU member countries

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Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Nürnberg

IAB - Nürnberg

2016

21 p.

immigration ; labour force participation ; labour market

Germany

IAB-Discussion Paper

04/2016

Migration

http://iab.de/

English

Bibliogr.

"We quantify the development of the potential labour force in Germany from 2014 to 2050 and pose the question as to which extent migration will be able to offset the well-known negative demographic influence. The mean overall results of this long period of time show that while migration may slightly dampen the trend, it cannot fully compensate for it, depending on the development of domestic labour participation. Persistently high immigration numbers, however, will defer the demographic caused decline of the workforce for some years. In contrast, even high, if realistic, immigration flows will only slow down demographic ageing."

Digital



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