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Will COVID-19 affect inequality? Evidence from past pandemics

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Furceri, Davide ; Loungani, Prakash ; Ostry, Jonathan David ; Pizzuto, Pietro

IMF

IMF - Washington, DC

2021

45 p.

epidemic disease ; income distribution ; social inequality ; economic recession

international

IMF Working Paper

WP/21/127

Income distribution

https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2021/05/01/Will-COVID-19-Affect-Inequality-Evidence-from-Past-Pandemics-50286

English

Bibliogr.

"This paper provides evidence on the impact of major epidemics from the past two decades on income distribution. The pandemics in our sample, even though much smaller in scale than COVID-19, have led to increases in the Gini coefficient, raised the income share of higher-income deciles, and lowered the employment-to-population ratio for those with basic education compared to those with higher education. We provide some evidence that the distributional consequences from the current pandemic may be larger than those flowing from the historical pandemics in our sample, and larger than those following typical recessions and financial crises."

Digital



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