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Offshoring under uncertainty

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Kohler, Wilhelm ; Kukharskyy, Bohdan

CESifo, Munich

CESifo - Munich

2018

38 p.

outsourcing ; value chains ; business cycle

USA

CESifo Working Paper

7173

Production management

http://www.cesifo-group.de/

English

Bibliogr.

"We develop a theoretical framework to explain firms' offshoring decisions in the presence of uncertainty. This model highlights the role of labor market institutions in shaping a firm's ability to effectively react upon future shocks, yielding a sharp prediction of the prevalence of offshoring in a given industry: The propensity of firms to source intermediate inputs from foreign rather than domestic suppliers decreases in a foreign country's labor market rigidity, and this effect is particularly pronounced in industries with higher volatility. Combining industry-level data on the U.S. offshoring intensity with measures of labor market rigidity and industry volatility, we find empirical evidence strongly supportive of the model's predictions."

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