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Explaining the shadow economy in Europe: size, causes and policy options

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Kelmanson, Ben ; Kirabaeva, Koralai ; Medina, Leandro ; Mircheva, Borislava ; Weiss, Jason

IMF

IMF - Washington, DC

2019

29 p.

hidden economy ; labour market ; labour market policy ; regulation

Europe ; Eastern Europe

IMF Working Paper

WP/19/278

Economic development

http://www.imf.org

English

Bibliogr.

This paper examines the drivers, and reestimates the size of shadow economies in Europe, with a focus on the emerging economies, and recommends policies to increase formality. The size of shadow economies declined across Europe in recent years but remains significant, especially in Eastern Europe. In the emerging European economies, the key determinants of shadow economy size are regulatory quality, government effectiveness, and human capital. The paper argues that a comprehensive package of reforms, focused on country-specific drivers, is needed to successfully combat the shadow economy. The menu of policies most relevant for Europe's emerging economies include: reducing regulatory and administrative burdens, promoting transparency and improving government effectiveness, as well as improving tax compliance, automating procedures, and promoting electronic payments."

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