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Robust determinants of income inequality

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Article

Furceri, Davide ; Ostry, Jonathan David

Oxford Review of Economic Policy

2019

35

3

Autumn

490-517

social inequality ; income generating activities ; globalization ; technological change ; unemployment ; trade

international

Income distribution

https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/grz014

English

Bibliogr.

"While economic theory suggests a wide range of potential determinants of income inequality, there is little consensus regarding the most relevant ones. Such a lack of consensus reflects, to an important extent, the impact of model uncertainty. Using model-averaging techniques—specifically WALS (weighted-average least squares)—to get at a robust set of determinants, our results underscore the multiplicity of factors behind rising national-level inequalities. In the cross-section, the level of development and demographics, as well as unemployment and globalization, seem to be key drivers. Trade and financial globalization have asymmetric effects, with trade integration associated with lower inequality, and financial globalization with higher inequality. Financial deregulation and technological change seem to be important drivers of inequality, particularly in advanced economies."

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