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Global employment and decent jobs, 2010–2030: The forces of demography and automation

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Article

Bloom, David E. ; McKenna, Mathew ; Prettner, Klaus

International Social Security Review

2019

72

3

July - September

43-78

social security ; automation ; demographic aspect ; social protection ; decent work ; employment creation

international

Social protection

https://doi.org/10.1111/issr.12213

English

Bibliogr.

"Globally, an estimated 734 million jobs will be required between 2010 and 2030 to accommodate recent and ongoing demographic shifts, account for plausible changes in labour force participation rates, and achieve target unemployment rates of at or below 4 per cent for adults and at or below 8 per cent for youth. The facts that most new jobs will be required in countries where “decent” jobs are less prevalent and workers in many occupations are increasingly subject to risks of automation further compound the challenge of job creation, which is already quite sizable in historical perspective. Failure to create the jobs that are needed through 2030 would put currently operative social security systems under pressure and undermine efforts to guarantee the national social protection floors enshrined in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)."

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