The macroeconomic impact of reforming a PAYG system: the Portuguese case
Garcia, Maria Teresa Medeiros ; Lopes, Emídio Graça
International Social Security Review
2009
62
1
Jan.___Ma1
1-23
pension reform ; social security ; social security financing ; statistics
Social protection - Old age benefits
English
Bibliogr.
"The article analyses the impact of various types of reform options on social security pension system financial sustainability and on a range of macroeconomic variables. The HERPOR model is used to consider the likely effects of parametric reforms of the existing pay-as-you-go system, as well as those of a systemic reform. The article concludes that the former are sufficient to ensure financial sustainability, although they should be accompanied by employment implementation measures. The article concludes that a fully pre-funded system does not seem to be a viable option for policy-makers in the redesigning of social security pension systems, due to the high transition costs involved."
Paper
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