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The macroeconomic impact of reforming a PAYG system: the Portuguese case

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Article

Garcia, Maria Teresa Medeiros ; Lopes, Emídio Graça

International Social Security Review

2009

62

1

Jan.___Ma1

1-23

pension reform ; social security ; social security financing ; statistics

Portugal

Social protection - Old age benefits

English

Bibliogr.

"The article analyses the impact of various types of reform options on social security pension system financial sustainability and on a range of macroeconomic variables. The HERPOR model is used to consider the likely effects of parametric reforms of the existing pay-as-you-go system, as well as those of a systemic reform. The article concludes that the former are sufficient to ensure financial sustainability, although they should be accompanied by employment implementation measures. The article concludes that a fully pre-funded system does not seem to be a viable option for policy-makers in the redesigning of social security pension systems, due to the high transition costs involved."

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