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Consolidating the Covid debt

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Keuschnigg, Christian ; Johs, Julian ; Stevens, Jacob

CESifo, Munich

CESifo - Munich

2021

56 p.

epidemic disease ; public finance ; fiscal policy ; tax reform ; economic growth

EU countries

CESifo working paper

9497

Public finance and taxation

https://www.cesifo.org/en/publikationen/2021/working-paper/consolidating-covid-debt

English

Bibliogr.

"One of the main functions of public debt is to smooth taxes and spending over time. In the Covid crisis, the Maastricht deficit restrictions were temporarily suspended to allow for large temporary deficits. As recovery sets in, countries are confronted with the task of consolidating the Covid debt. This paper explores a fiscal consolidation strategy combined with growth enhancing tax and expenditure reform. We quantitatively illustrate that this reform based strategy, by reaping substantial efficiency gains and inducing strong growth, eliminates the Covid debt, protects per capita social entitlements and yet avoids increasing tax rates. Wit"h slow consolidation, marginal tax rates are reduced right from the beginning."

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