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The impact of mandatory entitlement to paid leave on employment in the UK

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Lembcke, Alexander C.

London School of Economics and Political Science. Centre for Economic Performance

LSE - London

2014

80 p.

employment ; paid leave ; regulation

United Kingdom

CEP Discussion Paper

1262

Working time and leave

http://cep.lse.ac.uk/

English

Bibliogr.

"I evaluate the impact of the UK Working Time Regulations 1998, which introduced mandatory paid holiday entitlement. The regulation gave (nearly) all workers the right to a minimum of 4 weeks of paid holiday per a year. With constant weekly pay this change amounts effectively to an increase in the real hourly wage of about 8.5% for someone going from 0 to 4 weeks paid holiday per year, which should lead to adjustments in employment. For employees I use complementary log-log regression to account for right-censoring of employment spells. I find no increase in the hazard to exit employment within a year after treatment. Adjustments in wages cannot explain this result as they are increasing for the treated groups relative to the control. I also evaluate the long run trend in aggregate employment, using the predicted treatment probabilities in a difference-in-difference framework. Here I find a small and statistically significant decrease in employment. This effect is driven by a trend reversal in employment, coinciding with the treatment."

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