Documents Cova, Joshua 3 results

"The 2021–2023 surge in inflation rates witnessed across many advanced economies reignited concerns about demand-driven inflationary pressures derived from wage growth. Historically, wage demands and demand-driven inflationary pressures have been channelled through organised labour, which wielded greater institutional power than it does today. This article revisits the link between industrial relations and inflation, employing a political-economy lens that views inflation as the product of political and distributive conflicts between capital and labour. Employing a variety of econometric techniques on a panel of OECD economies, the study finds that although historically there has been a positive relationship between strong industrial relations and inflation, this association has weakened progressively, becoming statistically insignificant in recent decades. This indicates that, in advanced capitalist economies, the activities of organised labour are no longer as closely linked to inflation rates as they were in the 1970s."

"With the decline of unionization and collective bargaining coverage rates across advanced economies, governments increasingly make use of statutory minimum wages to ensure adequate compensation for low-wage workers. This state intervention reflects the liberalization of labour markets and the rise of an ‘employment rights' regime, where state regulation in the low-wage sector plays a growingly important role as the influence of social partners diminishes. This article investigates the factors that drive increased governmental involvement in minimum wage-setting mechanisms (MWSMs). Through a combination of historical large-N statistical analysis and an in-depth review of ruling parties' justifications to changes in MWSM, we find that economic and industrial relations variables – such as lower economic growth, higher inflation, and declines in unionization and collective bargaining coverage – primarily explain the shift towards greater governmental discretion. Partisanship and electoral cycles appear less significant. A media analysis of policymakers and social partners' statements in Germany, the United Kingdom, Ireland, and Spain reveals that governments justify intervention by emphasizing their responsiveness to changing economic circumstances. These findings have implications for the study of partisan politics and low-wage regulation, highlighting the growing role of governments in wage-setting practices."

"This article examines the determinants of the growing political salience of minimum wages in European party manifestos. By using multilingual quantitative text analysis, I show that the electoral salience of minimum wages has increased in the past decades. Although left-wing parties emphasize minimum wages more than right-wing parties, I find that the electoral salience of this policy follows a U-shaped relationship: right-wing populist parties dedicate greater attention to minimum wages than centre-right parties do. A sentiment analysis finds that compared to other policies designed to supplement the income of low-wage workers, such as strengthening collective bargaining institutions and in-work benefits/wage subsidies, there do not seem to be specific party-political characteristics, which determine the sentiment with which discussions on minimum wages are framed."