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How much could Article 6 enhance nationally determined contribution ambition toward Paris Agreement goals through economic efficiency?

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Article

Edmonds, James ; et al.

Climate Change Economics

2021

12

2

1-18

climate change ; international agreement ; decarbonization ; economic resources

Environment

https://doi.org/10.1142/S201000782150007X

English

Bibliogr.

"The Paris Agreement of 2015 uses Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) to achieve its goal to limit climate change to well below 2°C. Article 6 allows countries to cooperatively implement NDCs provided they do not double-count mitigation. We estimate that economic efficiency gains from cooperative implementation of existing NDC goals using Article 6 could reduce the cost of achieving NDC goals in 2030 to all parties by ∼$300×109, which if reinvested in additional emissions mitigation could add 9 billion tons CO2/year mitigation, beyond the 8 billion tons CO2/year currently pledged in 2030. We estimate that more than half of the 2030 gains could come from nature-based measures, but long-term potential for nature-based measures is more limited. How much or even if this economic potential can be realized is uncertain and will depend on both the rules and their implementation."

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